Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 13



602
WTNT23 KNHC 081432
TCMAT3

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO ROJO TO LAGUNA VERDE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO RIO PANUCO
* SOUTH OF LAGUNA VERDE TO PUERTO VERACRUZ

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 95.8W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 55SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 95.8W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 95.6W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.6N 96.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 25SE 25SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.7N 97.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.1N 98.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 95.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CARBIN/BANN




275
WTNT21 KNHC 081449
TCMAT1

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FROM JUPITER INLET
NORTHWARD TO SEBASTIAN INLET AND FROM BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO
VENICE.

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO
PONCE INLET.

THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE...AND ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO VENICE
* FLORIDA KEYS

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO PONCE INLET

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI
SPIRITUS... AND
VILLA CLARA
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO ANCLOTE RIVER
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS AND MATANZAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... AND LAS TUNAS

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA... FLORIDA... AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 75.3W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 927 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 45SE 35SW 55NW.
50 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 270SE 120SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 75.3W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 74.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.4N 77.1W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.8N 79.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.7N 80.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N 81.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.3N 82.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT...250NE 210SE 160SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 34.0N 85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 36.0N 87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 75.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




531
WTNT22 KNHC 081452
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.

THE GOVERNMENT OF SINT MAARTEN HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR SINT MAARTEN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... AND ANGUILLA
* SINT MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* SINT MAARTEN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MONTSERRAT... ST KITTS... AND NEVIS
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 57.1W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 150SW 195NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 57.1W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 56.4W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.8N 59.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.7N 61.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.0N 62.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 85SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.6N 65.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.2N 68.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 26.4N 68.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 28.0N 67.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 57.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY