Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 23



956
WTNT22 KNHC 110238
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 68.1W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE 50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 68.1W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 67.6W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.2N 69.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N 69.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.9N 68.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 26.5N 67.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 24.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 25.5N 72.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 68.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD




538
WTNT21 KNHC 110242
TCMAT1

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH...AS WELL AS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET
* NORTH MIAMI BEACH SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE
OCHLOCKONEE RIVER
* FLORIDA KEYS
* TAMPA BAY

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FERNANDINA BEACH
* NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO INDIAN PASS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO EDISTO BEACH

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS
* FLORIDA BAY
* WEST OF INDIAN PASS TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 81.9W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT.......140NE 140SE 90SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 200SE 150SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 180SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 81.9W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 81.7W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.4N 82.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...270NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 31.9N 84.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 33.9N 86.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 35.0N 88.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 37.5N 87.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 81.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG