Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 42

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228
WTNT22 KNHC 152034
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 70.3W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 70.3W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 69.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 27.8N 71.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.8N 72.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.9N 72.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 31.4N 72.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 33.9N 72.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 36.7N 71.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 40.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 70.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





229
WTNT24 KNHC 152034
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 29.7W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 29.7W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 29.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.8N 30.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.9N 32.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.0N 33.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.2N 34.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.6N 38.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 16.5N 42.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 18.5N 46.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 29.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN