Hurricane Jose
Forecast Advisory 62
921
WTNT25 KNHC 202037
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
2100 UTC WED SEP 20 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO... CULEBRA... AND VIEQUES
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUERTO PLATA
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...
CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MARIA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 67.3W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 45SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 67.3W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 67.0W
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N 68.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.5N 69.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 55SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.6N 70.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.9N 71.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.8N 72.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 29.0N 72.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 31.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 67.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
968
WTNT22 KNHC 202037
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 62
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
2100 UTC WED SEP 20 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH...INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 69.1W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 80SW 50NW.
34 KT.......170NE 200SE 180SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 270SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 69.1W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 69.4W
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.6N 68.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 80SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 190SE 170SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 39.6N 67.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 140SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 39.6N 68.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 140SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.5N 69.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 130SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 39.3N 70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 39.3N 70.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 39.4N 71.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.2N 69.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
