Hurricane Jose
Forecast Advisory 67
806
WTNT25 KNHC 220245
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUERTO PLATA
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 70.2W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 70.2W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 70.0W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.0N 70.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.1N 72.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.7N 72.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.3N 72.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.2N 71.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 33.0N 70.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 70.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
897
WTNT22 KNHC 220245
TCMAT2
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 67
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH... INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 68.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......190NE 130SE 160SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 240SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 68.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.6N 68.2W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 39.6N 68.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 100SE 130SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 39.5N 69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 39.3N 68.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 39.1N 67.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 38.8N 66.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N 68.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
