Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 68



193
WTNT22 KNHC 220837
TCMAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 68
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0900 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH... INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 68.7W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......190NE 130SE 160SW 190NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 68.7W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 68.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.7N 69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 39.5N 69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 39.2N 68.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 38.9N 67.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 38.5N 67.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.7N 68.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY




215
WTNT25 KNHC 220842
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUERTO PLATA
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
MARIA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 70.6W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB
EYE DIAMETER 35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 70.6W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 70.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.6N 71.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.2N 71.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.9N 72.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.4N 72.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 29.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 31.5N 71.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 33.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 70.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN