Hurricane Jose

Forecast Advisory 70



474
WTNT22 KNHC 222032
TCMAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 70
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 69.1W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 210SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 69.1W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 69.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 39.1N 69.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 38.7N 68.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 38.4N 67.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 38.2N 68.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 69.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




846
WTNT24 KNHC 222035
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 48.9W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 48.9W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 49.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 31.7N 48.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.3N 48.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 32.3N 47.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.1N 45.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.4N 43.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 30.5N 42.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 29.5N 43.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 48.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




252
WTNT25 KNHC 222040
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
MARIA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 71.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 210SE 120SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 71.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 71.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.3N 71.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.9N 72.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.5N 72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.8N 72.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.7N 72.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 32.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 71.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG