Hurricane Katia
Forecast Advisory 4
732
WTNT22 KNHC 061431
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JOSE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 44.5W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 44.5W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 43.8W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.7N 46.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 35SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.3N 49.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 55SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.8N 52.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 55NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 95NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 15.4N 55.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...105NE 75SE 50SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.3N 58.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 20.2N 61.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 23.6N 64.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 44.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
$$
FORECASTERS CARBIN/BANN/LAMERS
736
WTNT23 KNHC 061431
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN
STATE OF VERACRUZ LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 95.9W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 95.9W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 96.1W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.4N 95.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N 95.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.0N 95.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.7N 95.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 70SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.5N 97.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 95.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
816
WTNT21 KNHC 061444
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI
FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
MOLE ST. NICHOLAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
FOR THE COAST OF HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO
PORT-AU-PRINCE.
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR
GUADELOUPE.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND MONTSERRAT.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND SINT MAARTEN
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH
HAITI
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBA FROM MATANZAS PROVINCE EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO PROVINCE
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI... AS
WELL AS CUBA...THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND FLORIDA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 64.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 918 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 195 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 110SE 90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 90SE 60SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 64.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 63.3W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.0N 66.2W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.2N 69.0W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.2N 71.7W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.9N 74.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.9N 78.1W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.2N 80.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 29.0N 80.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 64.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
