Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 6



428
WTNT21 KNHC 070249
TCMAT1

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
0300 UTC THU SEP 07 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO... VIEQUES... AND CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH
HAITI
* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE
MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CUBA FROM MATANZAS PROVINCE EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO PROVINCE
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE
* CUBA PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... AND LAS TUNAS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI... AS WELL
AS
CUBA... THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IRMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 66.8W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 916 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 195 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 180SE 120SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 66.8W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 66.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.3N 68.8W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.3N 71.7W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.1N 74.1W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.7N 76.3W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.0N 79.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.4N 80.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 32.0N 81.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 66.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




615
WTNT23 KNHC 070250
TCMAT3

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
0300 UTC THU SEP 07 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO TO CABO ROJO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO ROJO TO LAGUNA VERDE

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED ON THURSDAY MORNING FOR A
PORTION OF THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 94.8W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
EYE DIAMETER 5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 5NW.
50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 94.8W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 94.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 94.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 5NW.
50 KT... 15NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.3N 94.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 70SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.1N 95.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.6N 96.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.0N 98.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 94.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




985
WTNT22 KNHC 070254
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0300 UTC THU SEP 07 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JOSE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 47.5W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 75SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 47.5W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 46.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.9N 49.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.5N 53.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.1N 55.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.8N 58.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.3N 62.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 22.4N 65.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 25.9N 68.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA