Hurricane Katia

Forecast Advisory 7

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596
WTNT23 KNHC 070836
TCMAT3

HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017
0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF MEXICO FROM CABO ROJO TO LAGUNA VERDE. THE GOVERNMENT OF
MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF CABO
ROJO TO RIO PANUCO AND FROM SOUTH OF LAGUNA VERDE TO PUERTO
VERACRUZ.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO ROJO TO LAGUNA VERDE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO RIO PANUCO
* SOUTH OF LAGUNA VERDE TO PUERTO VERACRUZ.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 94.5W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 5NW.
50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 60SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 94.5W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 94.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.5N 94.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.2N 95.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 70SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.8N 95.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 70SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.2N 97.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.5N 99.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 94.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





002
WTNT22 KNHC 070854
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JOSE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 49.1W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 75SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 49.1W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 48.3W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.2N 51.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.8N 54.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.4N 57.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.2N 59.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.7N 63.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 23.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 26.4N 69.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 49.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS