Hurricane Lee

Forecast Advisory 1

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817
WTNT24 KNHC 150244
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 25.4W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 25.4W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 24.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.2N 27.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.5N 29.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.5N 30.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.5N 31.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 11.8N 34.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 12.8N 38.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 14.4N 43.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 25.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





433
WTNT22 KNHC 150246
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 68.0W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 68.0W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 67.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 26.1N 69.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.9N 70.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 27.9N 72.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.0N 72.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 31.4N 72.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 34.2N 71.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 37.0N 70.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 68.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY