Hurricane Lee
Forecast Advisory 3
055
WTNT24 KNHC 151433
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 28.3W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 28.3W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 27.8W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.7N 29.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.9N 31.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 11.9N 32.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.1N 33.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.2N 36.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 14.7N 41.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 16.5N 45.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 28.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
916
WTNT22 KNHC 151452
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 69.4W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 69.4W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 69.0W
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 27.1N 70.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 28.1N 71.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 29.1N 72.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.4N 72.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.3N 72.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 36.1N 71.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 39.5N 70.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 69.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
