Hurricane Lee
Forecast Advisory 8
308
WTNT24 KNHC 162034
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 34.2W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 34.2W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 33.9W
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.6N 35.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 12.7N 36.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 13.2N 38.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.9N 39.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.9N 43.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.5N 47.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 51.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 34.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
209
WTNT22 KNHC 162034
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 71.9W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 30SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 71.9W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 72.0W
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.6N 71.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.9N 71.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 32.3N 71.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 130SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 33.8N 71.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...230NE 210SE 150SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.1N 70.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 40.0N 68.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 41.0N 63.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 71.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
745
WTNT25 KNHC 162037
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... ST. KITTS... NEVIS...AND MONTSERRAT.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND MONTSERRAT
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
* GUADELOUPE
* DOMINICA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 52.6W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 52.6W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 51.7W
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.0N 54.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.9N 56.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.6N 58.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.2N 59.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.5N 62.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.9N 65.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 19.5N 68.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 52.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
