Hurricane Lee

Forecast Advisory 11

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537
WTNT24 KNHC 171446
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
1500 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 36.7W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 36.7W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 36.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 13.2N 37.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 13.8N 39.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.7N 41.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.7N 42.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.5N 45.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 36.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





746
WTNT22 KNHC 171448
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
1500 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND ON THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 71.9W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 71.9W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 71.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.0N 71.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.6N 71.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.2N 71.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.7N 71.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...220NE 190SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.6N 70.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N 67.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.5N 65.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 71.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





366
WTNT25 KNHC 171452
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
1500 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
DOMINICA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ST. LUCIA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. LUCIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... ST. KITTS... NEVIS... AND MONTSERRAT
* GUADELOUPE
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* ANGUILLA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR
DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE BRITISH AND U. S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL
LIKELY BE ISSUED TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 56.2W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 56.2W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 55.7W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.1N 57.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.8N 59.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.5N 60.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.1N 62.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.3N 64.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.5N 67.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 20.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 56.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG