Hurricane Lee
Forecast Advisory 12
328
WTNT22 KNHC 172038
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FENWICK ISLAND...
DELAWARE...TO SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY
SOUTH...AND FROM EAST ROCKAWAY INLET...NEW YORK...TO PLYMOUTH...
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...
MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FENWICK ISLAND TO SANDY HOOK
* DELAWARE BAY SOUTH
* EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO PLYMOUTH
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 71.8W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......170NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 190SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 71.8W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 71.8W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 32.7N 71.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 110SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 34.3N 71.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 35.9N 71.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.7N 71.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 40.1N 69.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 39.7N 67.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 38.5N 67.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 71.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
323
WTNT24 KNHC 172048
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 37.3W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 15SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 37.3W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 36.9W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 13.5N 38.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.3N 40.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.4N 41.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.6N 43.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 37.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
102
WTNT25 KNHC 172052
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR ST. KITTS... NEVIS... AND MONTSERRAT.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA. THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED FOR THESE ISLANDS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH
FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* DOMINICA
* ST. KITTS... NEVIS... AND MONTSERRAT
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. LUCIA
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* ANGUILLA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED TONIGHT OR ON
MONDAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 57.5W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 57.5W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 57.0W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.3N 59.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.1N 60.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.8N 61.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.5N 63.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.8N 65.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 19.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 21.0N 71.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 57.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
