Hurricane Lee

Forecast Advisory 22

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411
WTNT24 KNHC 232035
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 49.8W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 49.8W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 49.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 32.3N 49.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.2N 48.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.8N 48.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.1N 48.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 30.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 31.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 32.4N 51.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N 49.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





532
WTNT25 KNHC 232046
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES MAY BE
NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST ON SUNDAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 72.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......210NE 200SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 180SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 72.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 72.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.6N 72.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.1N 73.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.1N 73.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.1N 73.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 32.9N 73.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N 73.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 35.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 72.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG