Hurricane Lee

Forecast Advisory 25

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646
WTNT24 KNHC 240854
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0900 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 50.1W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 50.1W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 50.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.6N 49.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.1N 48.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.6N 48.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.2N 49.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.5N 51.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 32.0N 52.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 34.5N 51.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 50.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY





210
WTNT25 KNHC 240855
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES MAY BE
NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 72.7W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......210NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 240SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 72.7W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 72.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.9N 72.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.1N 73.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.2N 73.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 32.1N 73.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 35.0N 72.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 36.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N 72.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN