Hurricane Lee

Forecast Advisory 27

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259
WTNT24 KNHC 242031
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
2100 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 49.7W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 180SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 49.7W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 49.9W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N 49.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.7N 49.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.3N 50.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 30.4N 51.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 31.0N 53.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 33.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 37.0N 49.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N 49.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA





762
WTNT25 KNHC 242053
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
2100 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA FROM SURF CITY NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 73.0W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 941 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 300SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 73.0W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 73.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.3N 73.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.4N 73.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 32.5N 73.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 33.6N 73.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.0N 73.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 35.8N 71.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 37.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 73.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN