Hurricane Lee

Forecast Advisory 33



106
WTNT24 KNHC 260844
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0900 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 52.5W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 52.5W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 52.0W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.9N 53.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.2N 55.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 30.9N 56.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 32.2N 56.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 36.9N 53.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 44.5N 40.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 50.9N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 52.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




637
WTNT25 KNHC 260844
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 73.1W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 210SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..440NE 440SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 73.1W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 73.1W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 33.7N 73.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.6N 73.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.4N 72.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 170SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.8N 71.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 180SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 180SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 41.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 48.0N 35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N 73.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN