Hurricane Lee

Forecast Advisory 36



789
WTNT25 KNHC 270231
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0300 UTC WED SEP 27 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO WEST OF OCRACOKE INLET
* NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO DUCK

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.
PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT
RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 72.9W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 72.9W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 72.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.4N 72.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.1N 72.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.5N 70.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.8N 68.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 190SE 180SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 39.5N 57.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 210SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 46.0N 39.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 53.0N 17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.9N 72.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




172
WTNT24 KNHC 270233
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0300 UTC WED SEP 27 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 55.5W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 55.5W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 55.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 30.5N 56.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 31.6N 57.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 33.4N 57.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.0N 55.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 43.7N 43.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 70SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 140SE 160SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 55.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI