Hurricane Lee

Forecast Advisory 44

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198
WTNT24 KNHC 290231
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 29 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 54.6W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 120SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 54.6W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 55.5W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 39.1N 51.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 25SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 70SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 43.2N 44.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 60SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 120SE 110SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 47.6N 36.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 130SE 140SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 54.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS





791
WTNT25 KNHC 290241
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 29 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 65.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 200SE 160SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 65.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 66.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 37.5N 61.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 210SE 170SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 39.1N 55.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 80SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 220SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 41.5N 48.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 220SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 44.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 220SE 200SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 50.0N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.1N 65.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN