Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 7

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149
WTNT24 KNHC 180245
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0300 UTC MON SEP 18 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 38.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 38.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 37.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.1N 39.7W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.2N 41.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.3N 42.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.7N 44.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 38.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





074
WTNT25 KNHC 180248
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0300 UTC MON SEP 18 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* DOMINICA
* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND MONTSERRAT
* MARTINIQUE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. LUCIA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* ANGUILLA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...PUERTO RICO...AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
ADDITIONAL HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTION OF THE LEEWARD AND VIRGIN ISLANDS ON MONDAY...
AND HURRICANE WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
NEARBY ISLANDS MONDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 58.4W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 58.4W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 58.0W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.7N 59.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.4N 61.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.2N 62.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.9N 63.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.5N 67.0W...OVER PUERTO RICO
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 20.0N 69.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 22.0N 71.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 58.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





756
WTNT22 KNHC 180250
TCMAT2

HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0300 UTC MON SEP 18 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FENWICK ISLAND TO SANDY HOOK
* DELAWARE BAY SOUTH
* EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO PLYMOUTH
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 71.6W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT.......170NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 200SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 71.6W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 71.6W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.4N 71.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.9N 71.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.6N 71.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 160SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.3N 71.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 40.2N 68.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 39.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 38.5N 68.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 71.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN