Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 13
958
WTNT22 KNHC 190837
TCMAT2
HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0900 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL TO HULL
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON
* NEW HAVEN TO WATCH HILL
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 71.3W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT.......120NE 70SE 90SW 130NW.
34 KT.......270NE 180SE 140SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 71.3W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 71.4W
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.1N 71.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 25SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT...110NE 80SE 90SW 130NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.5N 70.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 80SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.6N 68.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.0N 67.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 160SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 39.3N 66.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 140SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 38.7N 66.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 38.5N 67.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N 71.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
859
WTNT25 KNHC 190850
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* DOMINICA
* ST. KITTS... NEVIS... AND MONTSERRAT
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO... CULEBRA... AND VIEQUES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ANGUILLA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* ANGUILLA
* ISLA SAONA TO PUERTO PLATA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI
BORDER
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA... THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... AND
THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 62.3W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 934 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 62.3W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 61.9W
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.7N 63.4W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.6N 64.8W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.5N 66.3W...NEAR NORTH COAST PUERTO RICO
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.3N 67.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.2N 70.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 23.7N 71.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 26.5N 72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 62.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
