Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 17
499
WTNT22 KNHC 200840
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 60
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0900 UTC WED SEP 20 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED ALONG THE COAST OF
LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH... INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 70.3W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 180SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.4N 70.3W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 70.6W
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.1N 69.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.6N 68.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 160SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 39.5N 67.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 160SW 180NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 39.2N 68.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 150SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 38.9N 69.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 120SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 39.2N 69.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 39.5N 68.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.4N 70.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
666
WTNT25 KNHC 200856
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC WED SEP 20 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR GUADELOUPE.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE
WATCH FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO... CULEBRA... AND VIEQUES
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUERTO PLATA
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SABA
* ST. MAARTEN
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...
CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MARIA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 65.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 917 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 45SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 65.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 65.1W
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.6N 66.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N 68.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.5N 69.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.2N 72.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 27.3N 73.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 30.5N 73.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 65.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
