Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 21
703
WTNT22 KNHC 210836
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 64
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0900 UTC THU SEP 21 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH... INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.8N 67.8W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT.......170NE 200SE 200SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 240SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.8N 67.8W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.8N 67.9W
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 39.7N 67.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 180SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 39.8N 68.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.8N 68.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 110SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 39.6N 69.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 39.4N 69.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 39.5N 68.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.8N 67.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
458
WTNT25 KNHC 210841
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC THU SEP 21 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUERTO PLATA
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MARIA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 68.4W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 45SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 68.4W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 68.1W
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.5N 69.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.6N 70.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.9N 71.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.3N 71.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.4N 72.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 30.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 32.5N 70.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 68.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
