Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 29
483
WTNT25 KNHC 230851
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 72.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
EYE DIAMETER 35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......170NE 170SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 150SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 72.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 71.9W
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 26.0N 72.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 27.7N 72.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 110SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.2N 72.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.3N 73.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 32.0N 73.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 150SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 34.0N 73.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 36.0N 71.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 72.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
810
WTNT24 KNHC 230853
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0900 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 49.2W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 49.2W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 49.2W
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.3N 49.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 32.5N 48.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 32.2N 47.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.7N 46.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.5N 44.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 29.8N 45.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 30.5N 46.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 49.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
