Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 37

---

529
WTNT25 KNHC 250847
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC MON SEP 25 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE AND
PAMLICO SOUNDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF DUCK TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 73.0W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 330SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 73.0W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 73.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.4N 73.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 32.5N 73.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 33.5N 73.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.3N 73.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.5N 72.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 37.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 40.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 73.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





941
WTNT24 KNHC 250852
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0900 UTC MON SEP 25 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 49.4W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 49.4W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 49.4W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 30.9N 49.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.7N 50.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 30.8N 52.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.2N 53.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 32.7N 54.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 36.5N 51.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 42.5N 42.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 49.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI