Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 38
955
WTNT24 KNHC 251437
TCMAT4
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
1500 UTC MON SEP 25 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 49.9W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 200 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 49.9W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 49.7W
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.6N 50.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 30.6N 52.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 31.0N 53.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.5N 54.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 33.4N 54.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 37.9N 50.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 45.0N 39.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 49.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
762
WTNT25 KNHC 251439
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
1500 UTC MON SEP 25 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF DUCK TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
TO 48 HOURS.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 72.9W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 360SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 72.9W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 73.0W
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.8N 73.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 32.9N 73.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 33.8N 73.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.7N 73.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 35.7N 71.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 37.5N 64.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 42.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 72.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
