Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 39
841
WTNT24 KNHC 252037
TCMAT4
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
2100 UTC MON SEP 25 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 50.6W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 50.6W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 50.2W
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.4N 51.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 30.5N 53.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 31.8N 55.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 34.5N 54.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 40.2N 47.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 46.9N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 50.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
741
WTNT25 KNHC 252037
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
2100 UTC MON SEP 25 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF DUCK TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO
BOGUE INLET AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST
OF BOGUE INLET.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 73.1W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 360SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 73.1W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 73.1W
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 32.5N 73.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 33.5N 73.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.4N 73.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.3N 72.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 36.3N 69.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 180SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 38.8N 60.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 45.0N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 73.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
