Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 40
268
WTNT24 KNHC 260238
TCMAT4
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0300 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 51.5W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 51.5W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 51.0W
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 30.2N 52.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 30.5N 54.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.0N 55.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 31.7N 56.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 35.3N 55.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 42.0N 46.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 49.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 51.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
974
WTNT25 KNHC 260241
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0300 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 73.1W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 330SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 73.1W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 73.0W
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 33.2N 73.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 34.1N 73.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.0N 73.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 35.5N 72.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.5N 68.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 180SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 40.0N 57.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 47.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 73.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
