Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 42
869
WTNT24 KNHC 261437
TCMAT4
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
1500 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 53.7W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 53.7W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 53.2W
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N 55.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 30.6N 56.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 31.7N 56.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 33.3N 56.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 39.0N 51.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 46.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 53.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
726
WTNT25 KNHC 261440
TCMAT5
HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
1500 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE
HATTERAS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO WEST OF OCRACOKE INLET
* NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO DUCK
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL
NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW
EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT
RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 73.1W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 210SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 360SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 73.1W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 73.1W
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 34.3N 73.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.1N 73.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 35.7N 72.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 160SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.1N 70.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 90SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 170SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 37.6N 63.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 220SE 180SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 42.5N 49.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 50.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N 73.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
