Hurricane Maria
Forecast Advisory 45
087
WTNT24 KNHC 270834
TCMAT4
HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0900 UTC WED SEP 27 2017
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 56.3W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 56.3W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 56.0W
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 30.8N 57.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 32.1N 57.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 34.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.8N 53.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 46.3N 39.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 70SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 140SE 160SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 56.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
088
WTNT25 KNHC 270834
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC WED SEP 27 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO WEST OF OCRACOKE INLET
* NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO DUCK
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL
NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW
EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT
RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 72.9W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 110NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 180SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 72.9W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 73.0W
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 35.7N 72.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 170SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 36.2N 71.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 36.5N 69.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.0N 65.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 190SE 190SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 40.5N 52.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 110SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 240SE 210SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 47.5N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N 72.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
