Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 47

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124
WTNT25 KNHC 272030
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
2100 UTC WED SEP 27 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE
HATTERAS.

ALL STORM SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE HATTERAS TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 72.1W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 72.1W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 72.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 36.6N 71.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 36.9N 68.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.2N 64.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 80SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.6N 59.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 80SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 210SE 210SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 44.0N 43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 110SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 240SE 240SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 50.0N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N 72.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





107
WTNT24 KNHC 272033
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
2100 UTC WED SEP 27 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 57.1W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 57.1W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 57.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 32.2N 57.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 34.3N 56.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.3N 53.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 35SE 20SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 100SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 41.0N 48.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 48.5N 30.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT... 30NE 180SE 180SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 57.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE