Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 48

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511
WTNT25 KNHC 280231
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0300 UTC THU SEP 28 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 71.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 280SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 71.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 71.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.9N 70.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.9N 67.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 37.4N 62.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 39.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 210SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 44.5N 41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 51.0N 18.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N 71.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





950
WTNT24 KNHC 280233
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0300 UTC THU SEP 28 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 57.3W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 57.3W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 57.2W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 33.2N 57.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 35.7N 55.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 38.9N 51.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 35SE 25SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 110SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 42.5N 44.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 120SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 49.7N 25.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT... 30NE 180SE 180SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 57.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI