Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 49

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283
WTNT25 KNHC 280833
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
0900 UTC THU SEP 28 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 71.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE 160SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 71.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 71.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 36.8N 68.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 170SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.0N 64.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 180SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.0N 59.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 70SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 200SE 190SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 40.0N 53.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 230SE 220SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 46.4N 35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N 71.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





361
WTNT24 KNHC 280836
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
0900 UTC THU SEP 28 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 57.2W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 57.2W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 57.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 34.5N 56.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.4N 53.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 35SE 30SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 100SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 41.0N 47.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 70SE 60SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 110SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.7N 39.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 120SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N 57.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI