Hurricane Maria

Forecast Advisory 51

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482
WTNT24 KNHC 282035
TCMAT4

HURRICANE LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017
2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 55.8W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 200SE 110SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 55.8W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 56.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.4N 53.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 41.2N 47.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 110SE 110SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 45.6N 39.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N 55.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY





207
WTNT25 KNHC 282037
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 67.8W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE 160SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..430NE 300SE 230SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 67.8W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 68.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 37.1N 64.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 170SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.1N 58.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 70SE 70SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 180SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 40.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 200SE 190SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 42.7N 44.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 110SE 110SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 240SE 200SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 48.8N 26.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N 67.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART