Hurricane Nate
Forecast Advisory 9
339
WTNT21 KNHC 061447
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017
1500 UTC FRI OCT 06 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER.
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...AND FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
SHORES OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR METROPOLITAN NEW
ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS...AND FROM WEST OF
GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE.
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT EAST OF THE OKALOOSA/WALTON
COUNTY LINE TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
PROVENCE OF PINAR DEL RIO AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
PROVENCE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER
* NORTHERN AND WESTERN SHORES OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA HERRERO TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO
* PINAR DEL RIO
* METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
* WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA HERRERO TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO
* METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
* EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY
LINE
* WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA
* WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
* ISLE OF YOUTH
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN WESTERN CUBA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND
THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF NATE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 85.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 85.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 84.7W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.3N 86.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.8N 88.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.1N 89.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 31.1N 88.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 37.5N 80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 42.0N 70.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 85.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
