Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 1

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365
WTNT22 KNHC 090831
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017
0900 UTC MON OCT 09 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 39.9W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 39.9W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 40.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 31.5N 39.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 31.7N 39.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.5N 38.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.0N 37.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.7N 37.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 29.7N 35.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.0N 32.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 39.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI