Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 5

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602
WTNT22 KNHC 100831
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017
0900 UTC TUE OCT 10 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 38.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 38.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 38.9W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.7N 38.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 30.8N 37.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 30.2N 37.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N 36.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.0N 35.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 33.0N 30.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 35.5N 23.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 38.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI