Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 6

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715
WTNT22 KNHC 101453
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017
1500 UTC TUE OCT 10 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 38.3W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 130 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 38.3W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 38.5W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.9N 37.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 30.2N 37.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.8N 36.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.0N 36.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.2N 33.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 33.4N 28.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 36.0N 21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 38.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART