Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 7

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508
WTNT22 KNHC 102037
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017
2100 UTC TUE OCT 10 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 38.0W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 38.0W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 38.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 30.6N 37.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 30.2N 36.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.2N 36.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.5N 35.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 32.0N 32.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 34.7N 25.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 39.0N 17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N 38.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART