Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 10



683
WTNT22 KNHC 111434
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017
1500 UTC WED OCT 11 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 36.5W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 0NE 50SE 60SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 36.5W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 36.7W

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.9N 36.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.1N 35.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.8N 34.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N 33.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 34.0N 26.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 40.0N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 51.5N 12.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N 36.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA