Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 16

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768
WTNT22 KNHC 130247
TCMAT2

HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017
0300 UTC FRI OCT 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
AZORES WEATHER FORECAST AND WATCH CENTER.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 34.7W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 160SE 130SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 34.7W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 35.1W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.2N 33.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 25SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.2N 31.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 25SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.7N 27.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.0N 23.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 180SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 45.0N 14.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 240SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 56.0N 7.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 64.0N 0.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N 34.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

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FORECASTER BLAKE