Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 19

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400
WTNT22 KNHC 132041
TCMAT2

HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017
2100 UTC FRI OCT 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
AZORES WEATHER FORECAST AND WATCH CENTER.

INTERESTS IN IRELAND SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY MET
EIREANN... AND INTERESTS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY THE UK MET OFFICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 31.8W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 20SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 70SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 31.8W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 32.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 33.4N 29.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 25SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 35.2N 25.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 25SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 38.2N 20.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 180SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 43.1N 16.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 220SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 53.2N 10.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 50NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 270SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 60.5N 2.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 31.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY