Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 24



961
WTNT22 KNHC 150239
TCMAT2

HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017
0300 UTC SUN OCT 15 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE
AZORES WEATHER FORECAST AND WATCH CENTER.

INTERESTS IN IRELAND SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY MET
EIREANN... AND INTERESTS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 21.5W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 24 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 70SE 70SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 130SE 130SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 21.5W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 22.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 40.1N 17.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 45.7N 13.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 200SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 51.4N 10.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 30NW.
50 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 56.0N 7.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 60.0N 2.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.3N 21.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN