Hurricane Ophelia

Forecast Advisory 25

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580
WTNT22 KNHC 150840
TCMAT2

HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172017
0900 UTC SUN OCT 15 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN IRELAND SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY MET
EIREANN... AND INTERESTS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM SHOULD MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 18.3W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 30 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 70SE 70SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 130SE 130SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 180SE 480SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 18.3W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 19.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 43.0N 15.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 49.0N 11.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 40NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 90NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 200SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 54.0N 8.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 57.7N 4.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 180SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 60.8N .1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP OVR WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N 18.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART