Hurricane Dorian

Forecast Advisory 56

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880
WTNT25 KNHC 070836
TCMAT5

HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
0900 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS ADJUSTED THE WARNINGS FOR NOVA
SCOTIA...NEWFOUNDLAND...AND THE LOWER NORTH SHORE QUEBEC.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM LOWER EAST PUBNICO TO BRULE
* WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO HAWKE'S BAY

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* MAGDALEN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH MA
* NANTUCKET AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD MA
* EAST OF BAR HARBOR TO EASTPORT ME
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM AVONPORT TO NORTH OF LOWER EAST
PUBNICO
* FUNDY NATIONAL PARK TO SHEDIAC
* STONE'S COVE TO INDIAN HARBOUR
* HAWKE'S BAY TO FOGO ISLAND
* MUTTON BAY TO MARY'S HARBOUR

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTS OF THE UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 68.1W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......270NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 480SE 330SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.7N 68.1W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 69.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.8N 64.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 210SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 46.9N 61.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...350NE 270SE 240SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 50.0N 58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 52.5N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 57.5N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 140SE 70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.7N 68.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 07/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





881
WTNT23 KNHC 070836
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082019
0900 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 42.1W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 70SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 42.1W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 41.4W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 31.9N 44.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...170NE 80SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 33.3N 46.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 35.4N 47.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 38.0N 47.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 43.6N 40.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 50.7N 26.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 59.4N 7.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 42.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS