Hurricane Dorian

Forecast Advisory 61



035
WTNT23 KNHC 080831
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082019
0900 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 48.6W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 48.6W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 48.3W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 34.3N 49.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 37.1N 48.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 40.1N 45.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 42.7N 41.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 48.1N 28.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 80SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 56.0N 10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N 48.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




966
WTNT25 KNHC 080838
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 61
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
0900 UTC SUN SEP 08 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR
NOVA SCOTIA WEST OF ECUM SECUM ON THE SOUTHERN COAST AND WEST OF
BRULE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST. ALL WARNINGS HAVE ALSO BEEN
DISCONTINUED FOR NEW BRUNSWICK. THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR PRINCE
EDWARD ISLAND HAS ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM TO BRULE
* WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO HAWKE'S BAY

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAGDALEN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* MAGDALEN ISLANDS
* STONE'S COVE TO INDIAN HARBOUR
* HAWKE'S BAY TO FOGO ISLAND
* MUTTON BAY TO MARY'S HARBOUR

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.5N 61.1W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.
50 KT.......140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT.......300NE 300SE 210SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 600SE 660SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.5N 61.1W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.6N 61.9W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 50.9N 58.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...360NE 320SE 300SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 53.6N 52.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT...300NE 320SE 240SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 55.7N 45.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 320SE 300SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 57.0N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 300SE 330SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 48.5N 61.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN