Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Forecast Advisory 16



105
WTNT23 KNHC 071447
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082019
1500 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 43.7W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 70SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 43.7W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 43.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 32.4N 45.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 34.1N 47.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 36.5N 47.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 39.4N 46.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 45.0N 37.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 51.5N 22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 43.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




036
WTNT25 KNHC 071450
TCMAT5

HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 57
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
1500 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE COAST OF
MASSACHUSETTS...AS WELL AS FOR NANTUCKET AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM LOWER EAST PUBNICO TO BRULE
* WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO HAWKE'S BAY

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* MAGDALEN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF BAR HARBOR TO EASTPORT ME
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM AVONPORT TO NORTH OF LOWER EAST
PUBNICO
* FUNDY NATIONAL PARK TO SHEDIAC
* STONE'S COVE TO INDIAN HARBOUR
* HAWKE'S BAY TO FOGO ISLAND
* MUTTON BAY TO MARY'S HARBOUR

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTS OF THE UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.0N 66.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......270NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 540SE 600SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.0N 66.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 66.9W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 45.1N 63.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 210SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 48.9N 59.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...350NE 270SE 240SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 51.7N 54.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 54.2N 47.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.0N 66.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 07/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




601
WTNT25 KNHC 071453 CCA
TCMAT5

HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 57...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
1500 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019

CORRECTED 12 H STATUS

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE COAST OF
MASSACHUSETTS...AS WELL AS FOR NANTUCKET AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM LOWER EAST PUBNICO TO BRULE
* WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO HAWKE'S BAY

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* MAGDALEN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF BAR HARBOR TO EASTPORT ME
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM AVONPORT TO NORTH OF LOWER EAST
PUBNICO
* FUNDY NATIONAL PARK TO SHEDIAC
* STONE'S COVE TO INDIAN HARBOUR
* HAWKE'S BAY TO FOGO ISLAND
* MUTTON BAY TO MARY'S HARBOUR

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COASTS OF THE UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.0N 66.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT.......270NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 540SE 600SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.0N 66.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 66.9W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 45.1N 63.0W...OVER NOVA SCOTIA
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 210SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 48.9N 59.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 80NW.
34 KT...350NE 270SE 240SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 51.7N 54.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 54.2N 47.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 180SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.0N 66.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 07/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN