Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Forecast Advisory 17



716
WTNT23 KNHC 071613
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082019
1630 UTC SAT SEP 07 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 45.2W AT 07/1630Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 20SE 50SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 45.2W AT 07/1630Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 44.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 32.4N 46.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 20SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 34.0N 48.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 36.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 39.4N 47.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 90SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 45.0N 38.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 51.5N 23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 45.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG